{"id":1882,"date":"2026-04-21T18:47:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T16:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/?p=1882"},"modified":"2026-04-21T18:47:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T16:47:27","slug":"retour-de-conference-prospective-2026-2030-quels-risques-geopolitiques-pour-nos-entreprises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/2026\/04\/21\/retour-de-conference-prospective-2026-2030-quels-risques-geopolitiques-pour-nos-entreprises\/","title":{"rendered":"[Retour de conf\u00e9rence] \ud83c\udf0d Prospective 2026-2030 : quels risques g\u00e9opolitiques pour nos entreprises ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

C2IME, 21 avril 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ravie d’avoir particip\u00e9 aujourd’hui \u00e0 cet \u00e9v\u00e9nement du C2IME \u00e0 Metz.
Nous avons eu le privil\u00e8ge d’\u00e9couter une analyse prospective de Bruno TERTRAIS, Directeur adjoint de la FRS | Fondation pour la recherche strat\u00e9gique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le constat est clair : \u00ab \ud835\udde3\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude01-\ud835\uddf2\u0302\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude07-\ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2, \ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude00’\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddee \ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Voici les points cl\u00e9s \u00e0 retenir pour le monde \u00e9conomique :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u25b6\ufe0f \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddff\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf1\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude00\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf0\ud835\ude01\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf2
La difficult\u00e9 de pr\u00e9voir s’accentue avec des d\u00e9cisions de plus en plus \u00ab irrationnelles \u00bb (\u00e9conomiquement et militairement) o\u00f9 les passions l’emportent souvent sur les int\u00e9r\u00eats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u25b6\ufe0f \ud835\uddd7\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf0\ud835\ude01\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude01\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddfa\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf9\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00
Rupture des cha\u00eenes d’approvisionnement, volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s financiers et des taux de change, inflation persistante et enjeux de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 pour les employ\u00e9s \u00e0 l’\u00e9tranger.
Et un choc \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique o\u00f9 des mod\u00e9lisations pr\u00e9voyaient un baril \u00e0 108 USD alors que la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 de mars 2026 nous a projet\u00e9s \u00e0 120 USD, impactant aussi l’agriculture et l’industrie de plein fouet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u25b6\ufe0f \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf3\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddf4\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2
Nous n’assistons pas \u00e0 une d\u00e9mondialisation, mais \u00e0 une \u00ab mondialisation en pause \u00bb.
Bien que le d\u00e9couplage Etats-Unis\/Chine reste limit\u00e9, il transforme les cha\u00eenes de valeur, poussant l\u2019Europe et la Chine \u00e0 chercher activement des alternatives pour r\u00e9duire leurs d\u00e9pendances<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u203c\ufe0f Pourtant, le chiffre qui interpelle est celui-ci : un dirigeant fran\u00e7ais sur cinq s’estime encore \u00ab impr\u00e9par\u00e9 \u00bb face \u00e0 ces risques (source OpinionWay 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfaf \ud835\udde0\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf9\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb
Face \u00e0 la complexit\u00e9 de ces \u00ab guerres durables \u00bb (Ukraine, Moyen-Orient), aux basculements des rapports de force mondiaux et aux nombreux \u00ab rhinoc\u00e9ros gris \u00bb qui foncent sur le monde \u00e9conomique, l’intuition ne suffit plus.
\u2714\ufe0f Pour un Conseil d’administration, s’adjoindre un expert en intelligence \u00e9conomique et g\u00e9opolitique parmi ses membres est aujourd’hui une n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 vitale.
C’est un excellent levier permettant de transformer le risque en opportunit\u00e9 strat\u00e9gique, d’anticiper les ruptures de souverainet\u00e9 et d’assurer la r\u00e9silience r\u00e9elle du mod\u00e8le d’affaires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\ude4f Merci au C2IME pour l’organisation de ce temps fort indispensable \u00e0 la compr\u00e9hension des enjeux de demain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udccc En tant qu\u2019administratrice ind\u00e9pendante certifi\u00e9e, j\u2019accompagne les entreprises dans la structuration de leur gouvernance et encourage les dirigeants \u00e0 la prise de recul : se poser les bonnes questions pour porter une vision strat\u00e9gique qui sert l’humain autant que la performance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C2IME, 21 avril 2026. Ravie d’avoir particip\u00e9 aujourd’hui \u00e0 cet \u00e9v\u00e9nement du C2IME \u00e0 Metz.Nous avons eu le privil\u00e8ge d’\u00e9couter une analyse prospective de Bruno TERTRAIS, Directeur adjoint de la FRS | Fondation pour la recherche strat\u00e9gique. Le constat est clair : \u00ab \ud835\udde3\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude01-\ud835\uddf2\u0302\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude07-\ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2, \ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude00’\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2 …<\/p>\n

[Retour de conf\u00e9rence] \ud83c\udf0d Prospective 2026-2030 : quels risques g\u00e9opolitiques pour nos entreprises ?<\/span> Read More »<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-intelligence-economique"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Catherine Delahaye","author_link":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/author\/admin5132\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"C2IME, 21 avril 2026. Ravie d’avoir particip\u00e9 aujourd’hui \u00e0 cet \u00e9v\u00e9nement du C2IME \u00e0 Metz.Nous avons eu le privil\u00e8ge d’\u00e9couter une analyse prospective de Bruno TERTRAIS, Directeur adjoint de la FRS | Fondation pour la recherche strat\u00e9gique. Le constat est clair : \u00ab \ud835\udde3\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude01-\ud835\uddf2\u0302\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude07-\ud835\ude03\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2, \ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\ude00’\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1882"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1882\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1884,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1882\/revisions\/1884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}