{"id":1837,"date":"2026-02-04T16:08:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-04T15:08:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/?p=1837"},"modified":"2026-02-26T16:10:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T15:10:14","slug":"fin-du-traite-new-start-un-basculement-strategique-et-economique","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/2026\/02\/04\/fin-du-traite-new-start-un-basculement-strategique-et-economique\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud83c\udfaf Fin du trait\u00e9 New START : un basculement strat\u00e9gique\u2026 et \u00e9conomique"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lesechos.fr\/monde\/enjeux-internationaux\/ni-la-russie-ni-les-etats-unis-nont-pour-linstant-interet-a-prolonger-new-start-ce-que-cache-labandon-du-traite-sur-les-armes-nucleaires-2213975#utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_email_type=retention&amp;utm_campaign=lec_18h_gratuite&amp;utm_email_send_date=20260204\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Les Echos<\/a>, 4 f\u00e9vrier 2026. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Le 5 f\u00e9vrier 2026 a marqu\u00e9 la fin du dernier accord limitant les arsenaux nucl\u00e9aires am\u00e9ricains et russes. Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 30 ans, aucun cadre ne r\u00e9gule les deux plus grandes puissances nucl\u00e9aires du monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Nous entrons dans une zone grise strat\u00e9gique\u2026 aux r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques majeures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ud83d\udd25 \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf5\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf0 \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf6 \ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddef\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddff\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">1\ufe0f\u20e3 \ud835\udde8\ud835\udde6\ud835\uddd4 \u2013 \ud835\udde5\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddf2 : \ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff \ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf1\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf3\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb<br>Sans inspections, sans plafonds, sans transparence, Washington et Moscou retrouvent une dynamique de rivalit\u00e9 ouverte.<br>\u27a1\ufe0f \ud835\udddc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf0\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 : r\u00e9allocation budg\u00e9taire massive vers le militaire, pression accrue sur les finances publiques russes et mont\u00e9e en puissance du complexe militaro-industriel am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">2\ufe0f\u20e3 \ud835\udddf\ud835\uddee \ud835\uddd6\ud835\uddf5\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2, \ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude03\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude02 \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf1\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude03\ud835\uddf6\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301 \ud835\ude00\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddee\ud835\ude01\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2<br>P\u00e9kin acc\u00e9l\u00e8re son arsenal (objectif 1\u202f500 t\u00eates d\u2019ici 2030). Les \u00c9tats-Unis refusent d\u00e9sormais tout trait\u00e9 qui ne l\u2019inclut pas.<br>\u27a1\ufe0f \ud835\udddc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf0\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 : la Chine pourrait intensifier ses investissements militaires au d\u00e9triment d\u2019autres secteurs, tandis que les \u00c9tats-Unis renforcent leurs capacit\u00e9s industrielles de d\u00e9fense pour \u00e9viter un d\u00e9crochage technologique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">3\ufe0f\u20e3 \ud835\udddf\u2019\ud835\uddd8\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfb \ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddf2\u0300\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddf4\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2, \ud835\ude00\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude00 \ud835\uddf3\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddf9\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude01<br>La fin du trait\u00e9 lib\u00e8re la parole\u2026 et les menaces. Moscou instrumentalise d\u00e9j\u00e0 la rh\u00e9torique nucl\u00e9aire. Washington envisage de r\u00e9activer des armes stock\u00e9es.<br>\u27a1\ufe0f \ud835\udddc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddfd\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddf0\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf6\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2 : l&#8217;Europe devra probablement augmenter ses budgets de d\u00e9fense, acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer l\u2019autonomie strat\u00e9gique et soutenir son industrie militaire \u2014un changement profond pour des \u00e9conomies historiquement orient\u00e9es vers le civil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">\ud83d\udcc9 \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2 \ud835\uddee\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude05 \ud835\uddee\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfa\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude01\ud835\ude00\u2026 \ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude01 \ud835\uddee\ud835\ude02\ud835\ude05 \ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddfc\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddff\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf2\ud835\ude00<br>Nous ne sommes plus dans une logique de d\u00e9sarmement.<br>Nous entrons dans une course triangulaire Etats-Unis \u2013 Chine \u2013 Russie, o\u00f9 chaque puissance et les entreprises qui les composent devront :<br>\u25aa\ufe0f moderniser des vecteurs nucl\u00e9aires<br>\u25aa\ufe0f d\u00e9velopper des technologies duales (IA, t\u00e9l\u00e9coms, hypersonique, cyber)<br>\u25aa\ufe0f s\u00e9curiser des cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement critiques (ex. terres rares, micro\u00e9lectronique)<br>\u27a1\ufe0f \ud835\uddd6\ud835\uddfc\ud835\uddfb\ud835\ude00\ud835\uddf2\u0301\ud835\uddfe\ud835\ude02\ud835\uddf2\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf0\ud835\uddf2 : les budgets militaires vont m\u00e9caniquement peser sur les \u00e9quilibres macro\u00e9conomiques, les dettes souveraines et les priorit\u00e9s sociales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">La question n&#8217;est plus de savoir si la course aux armements va reprendre\u2026 mais jusqu&#8217;o\u00f9 elle ira.<br>Je serais ravie de lire vos analyses \ud83d\udc47<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les Echos, 4 f\u00e9vrier 2026. Le 5 f\u00e9vrier 2026 a marqu\u00e9 la fin du dernier accord limitant les arsenaux nucl\u00e9aires am\u00e9ricains et russes. Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 30 ans, aucun cadre ne r\u00e9gule les deux plus grandes puissances nucl\u00e9aires du monde. Nous entrons dans une zone grise strat\u00e9gique\u2026 aux r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques majeures. \ud83d\udd25 \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/2026\/02\/04\/fin-du-traite-new-start-un-basculement-strategique-et-economique\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\ud83c\udfaf Fin du trait\u00e9 New START : un basculement strat\u00e9gique\u2026 et \u00e9conomique<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-intelligence-economique"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Catherine Delahaye","author_link":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/author\/admin5132\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Les Echos, 4 f\u00e9vrier 2026. Le 5 f\u00e9vrier 2026 a marqu\u00e9 la fin du dernier accord limitant les arsenaux nucl\u00e9aires am\u00e9ricains et russes. Pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 30 ans, aucun cadre ne r\u00e9gule les deux plus grandes puissances nucl\u00e9aires du monde. Nous entrons dans une zone grise strat\u00e9gique\u2026 aux r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques majeures. \ud83d\udd25 \ud835\udde8\ud835\uddfb&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1837"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1837\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1839,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1837\/revisions\/1839"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canis-conseil.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}